Complementing the Standard Risk Measure
A Discussion Paper introducing a new long-term investment risk measure for superannuation.

In Complementing the Standard Risk Measure: Framing Super as an Investment for Retirement, superannuation actuaries Estelle Liu, Ian Fryer, David Carruthers and Hailey Cai provide a more meaningful view of long-term risk.
In brief:
- When investing super for retirement, relying on the Standard Risk Measure (SRM) focuses on short-term losses and misses what really matters: not having enough money to retire comfortably.
- A new long-term investment risk measure – the Adequacy Risk Measure – should be introduced to complement the existing Standard Risk Measure (SRM) used in super product disclosures.
- The proposed Adequacy Risk Measure estimates the probability that an investment option will fall short of a target net investment return of CPI + 3% per annum over a 20-year period.
- For members focused on building adequate retirement savings, the Adequacy Risk Measure would be more useful than the SRM in helping them make sound investment decisions.
- Some super funds are already leading on this – this paper discusses the benefits to consumers of broader industry and potentially policy adoption.
The Adequacy Risk measures the risk that your superannuation investments do not generate sufficient returns, net of investment fees and tax, above inflation to stay ahead of the rising cost of living and allow you to maintain your lifestyle in retirement. To determine this risk, we consider the likelihood of the investment option returning inflation (CPI) + 3% p.a.
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