In their latest article, the Mortality Working Group shares excess mortality analysis for the first 11 months of 2024. In summary For the first 11 months of 2024, against a baseline that includes anticipated COVID-19 deaths, total mortality was 1% higher than predicted, which is just within the 95% confidence interval. The statistically significant outcomes […]

Are we ready for a world with fewer babies and longer lives? In the latest instalment of Investment Ideas, Demographics, Jan Swinhoe and Douglas Isles sit down with Dr David Knox AM and Associate Professor Katja Hanewald to explore the economic and investment implications of global demographic shifts. Key areas discussed include: The dual demographic […]

In their latest article, the Mortality Working Group shares excess mortality analysis for the first eight months of 2024. In summary For the first eight months of 2024, against a baseline that includes anticipated COVID-19 deaths: total mortality was 2% higher than predicted; COVID-19 mortality was 70% higher than predicted; Non-COVID respiratory mortality was 8% […]

In their latest article, the Mortality Working Group shares excess mortality analysis for the first five months of 2024.

In their latest article, the Mortality Working Group shares excess mortality analysis for the first four months of 2024. In summary Total mortality was in line with the new baseline for the first four months of 2024. The early mortality experience of 2024 includes higher COVID-19 mortality than predicted, particularly for March and April. Pneumonia […]

The new Research Paper from the Mortality Working Group explores how COVID-19 affected mortality in Australia from 2020 to 2023 and how Australia’s experience compares with the rest of the world.

In their latest article, the Mortality Working Group shares excess mortality analysis for the first quarter of 2024. In summary Total excess mortality relative to the new baseline for the first three months of 2024 is 1%. The early mortality experience of 2024 includes higher COVID-19 mortality than predicted, particularly for March. All other causes […]

The Mortality Working Group presents their first set of results using the new approach to setting the predicted number of deaths.

The Mortality Working Group is planning to make a significant change to the baseline (or expected number of deaths) used when measuring excess mortality for Australia. The Working Group intends to move away from the philosophical question of “How has the pandemic affected mortality?” to instead answer the question “Is 2023 mortality the ‘new normal’?” […]

Catch up on the Actuaries Institute Mortality Working Group’s latest analysis of excess deaths. In summary: Total excess mortality for 2023 is 5% (95% confidence interval: 3% to 7%) or +8,400 deaths – i.e., there were 8,400 more deaths than expected if the pandemic had not happened. More than half of the year-to-date (YTD) excess […]

Catch up on the Actuaries Institute Mortality Working Group’s latest analysis of excess deaths. In summary: Total excess mortality for the first 11 months of 2023 is 5% (95% confidence interval: 3% to 7%) or +7,400 deaths – i.e., there were 7,400 more deaths than expected if the pandemic had not happened. More than half […]

Catch up on the Actuaries Institute’s COVID-19 Mortality Working Group’s latest analysis of excess deaths. In summary: There were 100 fewer deaths than predicted (0% excess) in the month of August 2023, down from +600 (4%) in July 2023. This is the first month since September 2021 that Australia has not had excess mortality. The […]

Catch up on the Actuaries Institute’s COVID-19 Mortality Working Group’s latest analysis of excess deaths. In summary: Total excess mortality for the first seven months of 2023 is 6% (95% confidence interval: 5% to 8%) or +6,500 deaths – i.e., there were 6,500 more deaths than expected if the pandemic had not happened. Half of […]

Catch up on the Actuaries Institute’s COVID-19 Mortality Working Group’s latest analysis of excess deaths. In summary: There were +1,000 (6%) excess deaths in the month of June 2023, down from +1,500 (10%) in May 2023. Total excess mortality for the first six months of 2023 is 7% (95% confidence interval: 5% to 8%) or […]

Catch up on the Actuaries Institute’s COVID-19 Mortality Working Group’s latest analysis of excess deaths.

Catch up on the Actuaries Institute’s COVID-19 Mortality Working Group’s latest analysis of excess deaths. In summary: Total excess mortality for the first four months of 2023 is 6% (95% CI: 4% to 8%) or +3,300 deaths – i.e., there were 3,300 more deaths than would have been expected if the pandemic had not happened. […]

Catch up on the Actuaries Institute’s COVID-19 Mortality Working Group’s latest analysis of excess deaths. In summary: Total excess mortality for first three months of 2023 is 6% (+2,300 deaths), ie., there were 2,300 more deaths than would have been expected if the pandemic had not happened. Just over half of the excess mortality is […]

Catch up on the Actuaries Institute’s COVID-19 Mortality Working Group’s latest analysis of excess deaths. In summary: Total excess mortality for first two months of 2023 is 6% (+1,500 deaths), i.e., there were 1,500 more deaths than would have been expected if the pandemic had not happened. Two-thirds of the excess mortality is due to […]

Catch up on the Actuaries Institute’s COVID-19 Mortality Working Group’s latest analysis of excess deaths. In summary: Total excess mortality for the month of January 2023 is 8% (+1,100 deaths) i.e. there were 1,100 more deaths than would have been expected if the pandemic had not happened. Two-thirds of the excess mortality is due to […]

Catch up on the Actuaries Institute’s COVID-19 Mortality Working Group’s latest analysis of excess deaths. In summary: Total excess mortality for the full year 2022 is 12% (+20,200 deaths) i.e. there were over 20,000 more deaths in 2022 than would have been expected if the pandemic had not happened. This is slightly more than we […]